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Sunday, November 3, 2019

Climate Change Deniers, and the Cigarette Smoking Connection to Lung Cancer Deniers


As a species, we humans have a history of denying facts even when they are staring us in the face.

‘Lung cancer was once a very rare disease, so rare that doctors took special notice when confronted with a case, thinking it a once-in-a-lifetime oddity. Mechanisation and mass marketing towards the end of the 19th century popularised the cigarette habit, however, causing a global lung cancer epidemic. Cigarettes were recognised as the cause of the epidemic in the 1940s and 1950s, with the confluence of studies from epidemiology, animal experiments, cellular pathology and chemical analytics. Cigarette manufacturers disputed this evidence, as part of an orchestrated conspiracy to salvage cigarette sales. Propagandising the public proved successful, judging from secret tobacco industry measurements of the impact of denialist propaganda. As late as 1960 only one-third of all US doctors believed that the case against cigarettes had been established. The cigarette is the deadliest artefact in the history of human civilisation. Cigarettes cause about 1 lung cancer death per 3 or 4 million smoked, which explains why the scale of the epidemic is so large today. Cigarettes cause about 1.5 million deaths from lung cancer per year, a number that will rise to nearly 2 million per year by the 2020s or 2030s, even if consumption rates decline in the interim. Part of the ease of cigarette manufacturing stems from the ubiquity of high-speed cigarette making machines, which crank out 20,000 cigarettes per min. Cigarette makers make about a penny in profit for every cigarette sold, which means that the value of a life to a cigarette maker is about US$10,000.’

The above is a quote from the abstract for The history of the discovery of the cigarette-lung cancer link: evidentiary traditions, corporate denial, global toll, from the History Department, Stanford University.

People still smoke; it’s a highly addictive habit, and hard to kick.

Lung cancer is the most commonly occurring cancer in men and the third most commonly occurring cancer in women.’ Even though lung cancer rates have been decreasing because of the changes made to packaging and ongoing information and education about the dangers of smoking, not only to the lungs, there were still ‘2 milion new cases in 2018.’


The oil industry’s knowledge of dangerous climate change stretches back to the 1960s, with unearthed documents showing that it was warned of “serious worldwide environmental changes” more than 45 years ago.

‘The Stanford Research Institute presented a report to the American Petroleum Institute (API) in 1968 that warned the release of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels could carry an array of harmful consequences for the planet.

‘The emergence of this stark advice follows a series of revelations that the fossil fuel industry was aware of climate change for decades, only to publicly deny its scientific basis.

‘ “Significant temperature changes are almost certain to occur by the year 2000 and these could bring about climatic change,” the 1968 Stanford report, found and republished by the Center for International Environmental Law, states. “If the Earth’s temperature increases significantly, a number of events might be expected to occur including the melting of the Antarctic ice cap, a rise in sea levels, warming of the oceans and an increase in photosynthesis.’ From The Guardian, April 2016


For more from the Center for International Environmental Law:

Our planet still has a huge dependency on carbon-based fuels, and ‘Carbon dioxide is the main cause of human-induced climate change.’ Certainly ‘Small changes in the sun’s energy that reaches the earth can cause some climate change. But since the Industrial Revolution, adding greenhouse gases has been over 50 times more powerful than changes in the Sun's radiance. The additional greenhouse gases in earth’s atmosphere have had a strong warming effect on earth’s climate.’

‘Carbon dioxide is the main cause of human-induced global warming and associated climate change. It is a very long-lived gas, which means carbon dioxide builds up in the atmosphere with ongoing human emissions and remains in the atmosphere for centuries. Global warming can only be stopped by reducing global emissions of carbon dioxide from human fossil fuel combustion and industrial processes to zero, but even with zero emissions, the global temperature will remain essentially constant at its new warmer level. Emissions of other substances that warm the climate must also be substantially reduced. This indicates how difficult the challenge is.’

The quotes in the above 2 paragraphs are from the website:

We’ve heard and seen the demonstrations asking governments to pay attention to the science in regard to climate change. We’ve heard and seen the people who deny that we need to make radical changes. We’ve had the experience of denying that cigarette smoking is harmful.
How long will it take to make changes that will improve our future? What kinds of disasters will we see if we don’t?